🐂 AMD — Company Profile (Teaching)¶
Teaching site, not investment advice. Specific market cap / stock price / financial figures change frequently and are intentionally omitted; use the SEC + Yahoo Finance links below to pull real-time data yourself.
📌 Basics¶
| Dimension | Content | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Core business | EPYC datacenter CPU + MI300/MI350/MI400 AI GPU + Ryzen desktop CPU + Radeon gaming GPU + Embedded (Xilinx FPGA) | 10-K FY25 |
| Founded / HQ | 1969 / Santa Clara, California, USA | wiki |
| CEO | Lisa Su (since 2014/10; widely credited with turnaround) | DEF 14A |
| Primary listing | NASDAQ: AMD | — |
| Fiscal year | Ends Dec 31 (calendar year) | SEC EDGAR |
💡 Real-time market cap / share price / MI series revenue / DC GM: see SEC primary + IR links below.
🏭 Supply Chain Coordinates (Part 1-C6 framework)¶
Upstream (Who AMD Depends On)¶
| Supplier | What flows | Key dependency |
|---|---|---|
TSM |
Foundry for EPYC / MI / Ryzen / FPGA | Irreplaceable — AMD is a top-3 TSM customer |
SKH / MU / SSNLF |
MI300X uses HBM3, MI350 series uses HBM3E | Multi-source (competing with NVDA for HBM3E) |
SNPS + CDNS |
EDA tools | Duopoly |
| ASE / SPIL | Back-end packaging (advanced packaging like CoWoS still at TSM) | Multi-source |
COHR + LITE |
Optical modules (AI cluster fabric) | Dual-source |
Downstream (Who Depends on AMD)¶
| Customer | Relationship | Concentration |
|---|---|---|
MSFT |
Azure EPYC + MI300/MI350 GPU secondary + Cobalt co-design | Hyperscaler mega-customer |
META |
MI300/MI350 internal deployments (Llama inference) | Hyperscaler mega-customer |
OPENAI |
AMD-OpenAI 6GW deal (LEDGER F-025) — strategic | Strategic |
AMZN |
EPYC AWS mega-customer + MI300 secondary | Hyperscaler |
GOOGL |
EPYC GCP secondary (TPU primarily self-supplied) | Hyperscaler |
OEMs (DELL / HPE / SMCI) |
EPYC + Ryzen sold to enterprise + consumer via OEM | Highly diversified |
Competitors¶
- AI GPU:
NVDA(90%+ dominant share; AMD MI series catching up at 5-10%) - Datacenter CPU:
INTCXeon (historical leader, losing share to AMD EPYC);ARMserver CPUs (AMZNGraviton /MSFTCobalt /GOOGLAxion) - Desktop CPU:
INTCCore (AMD Ryzen grabbing gaming + high-end desktop share) - Gaming GPU:
NVDAGeForce /INTCArc (negligible share) - FPGA / Embedded:
LSCCLattice (low-end); AMD is FPGA leader post-Xilinx acquisition
💼 Business Model + Value Capture (Part 1-C7 view)¶
- Revenue mix: Data Center (EPYC + MI GPU) ~50%+ / Client (Ryzen + Radeon consumer) ~25% / Gaming (console custom silicon) ~15% / Embedded (Xilinx) ~10%
- Gross margin: ~50% overall; MI GPU GM lower (vs. NVDA 70%+, reflecting weaker ROCm ecosystem and lower pricing power)
- Pricing power: Medium — MI300 must be ~25% cheaper than H100 to dislodge customers; EPYC pursues a price/performance strategy
- Substitution difficulty: CPU high (EPYC vs. Xeon locked in by hyperscalers) / AI GPU medium (ROCm still weak; customers use AMD mainly as NVDA secondary to avoid single-vendor risk)
(For specific quarterly revenue / MI revenue / DC GM, see the latest SEC 10-Q.)
🏰 Moat Assessment (Part 3-C2 Buffett 5-step lens)¶
| Type | Strength (0-1) | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Brand | 0.6 | Engineers respect EPYC, but for AI GPUs the default is NVDA |
| Switching cost | 0.5 | EPYC and Xeon are both x86; switching is relatively easy (1-2 quarters qualification); ROCm-to-CUDA switching is extremely hard |
| Network effects | 0.3 | Far fewer ROCm developers than CUDA; some via FPGA design tools (Vivado) |
| Scale + cost | 0.5 | Same TSM node, but R&D spend is multiples below NVDA |
Composite: 1.9 / 4 → CPU business has moat; AI GPU business moat is weak (against NVDA's dominance)
⚠️ Key Reverse-Trigger Conditions (Part 3-C5 anti-thesis view)¶
- Trigger 1 (quarterly): MI300/MI350 shipments + revenue growth < 50% YoY — customers pull back on NVDA-secondary diversification
- Trigger 2 (quarterly): EPYC datacenter share stops growing / reverses — INTC counterattack or ARM server CPU substitution
- Trigger 3 (annual): ROCm software ecosystem fails to close CUDA gap — long-term AI GPU ceiling
- Trigger 4 (event): China export controls expand — parts of AMD MI series restricted (like NVDA H20)
- Trigger 5 (low probability): Hyperscaler in-house ASIC (Trainium / Maia / TPU) fully squeezes AMD's AI GPU share
🔗 Teaching Cross-References¶
- Part 1-C3 · Why NVDA isn't Intel — AMD is NVDA's principal direct comparable
- Part 1-C5 · Hardware stack — MI vs. GPU architecture comparison
- Part 1-C9 · US-China geopolitics — AMD export controls
- Part 4-C1 · DeepSeek sell-off — AMD -17% same day as NVDA
- Patterns — #5 second-source logic
📚 SEC Primary Filings (look it up yourself)¶
- Latest 10-Q (quarterly) — segments + MI shipments
- Latest 10-K (FY25 annual) — full annual data + customer concentration + risk factors
- AMD-OpenAI 6GW announcement — LEDGER F-025
- Investor relations — earnings calendar + historical data
- SEC EDGAR all filings — full filing history
Real-time quote: Yahoo Finance AMD
Teaching use · numbers change — learn the method, not the specific figures · investment decisions are based on your own research + risk tolerance